Evaluating service needs for veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome in Saskatchewan

To determine the number of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) who would be eligible to receive veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO). We conducted a retrospective observational study of ARDS patients admitted to Regina General Hospital Intensive Care Unit (ICU). VV-ECMO eligibility was assessed using selection criteria from the Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome trial (EOLIA), the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO), New South Wales (NSW), Critical Care Services Ontario (CCSO) and a Regina-restrictive criteria. Of 415 patients admitted between October 16, 2018, and January 21, 2021, 103 (25%) had mild, 175 (42%) had moderate, and 64 (15%) had severe ARDS. Of the cohort, 144 (35%) had bacterial pneumonia, 86 (21%) had viral pneumonia (including COVID-19), and 72 (17%) had aspiration pneumonia. Using the EOLIA, ELSO, NSW, CCSO and Regina-restrictive criteria, 7/415 (1.7%), 6/415 (1.5%), 19/415 (4.6%), 26/415 (6.3%) and 12/415 (2.9%) were eligible for VV-ECMO, respectively. Of all ECMO-eligible patients, only one (2.4%) actually received VV-ECMO, 20/42 (48%) received prone positioning and 21/42 (50%) received neuromuscular blockade. There is potential for service expansion of VV-ECMO in Regina; however, there is still a need to improve the delivery of evidence-based ARDS therapies.


Study design and setting
A retrospective observational study was conducted of consecutive ICU admissions with ARDS at Regina General Hospital (RGH) from October 16, 2018, to January 21, 2021.RGH is a tertiary care university-affiliated teaching hospital which can provide both VV-and veno-arterial (VA)-ECMO on an ad hoc basis.The hospital is a major referral centre in Southern Saskatchewan, serving about 500,000 residents in an area 11 over 100,000 km 2 .RGH has a standard ventilation protocol with most patients receiving pressure-regulated volume control as the initial set mode, with a set tidal volume of 6-8 mL/kg predicted body weight, while maintaining the peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) ≤ 35 cm H 2 O and plateau pressure ≤ 30 cm H 2 O. PEEP may be set by static compliance measurements and/or esophageal pressure manometry.

Participants
Patients were included if they met the following criteria: ≥ 18 years of age, received mechanical ventilation, and were diagnosed with ARDS based on the Berlin definition 1 .Patients who experienced respiratory failure primarily due to congestive heart failure were excluded.

Covariates
Demographic and clinical information were collected, including age, biological sex, height, weight, comorbidities, oxygenation and ventilation parameters, use of adjunctive therapies, and information related to the potential contraindications such as severe bleeding, cardiac arrest prior to ECMO, severe immunosuppression, and poor neurological prognosis.Largest set and actual delivered tidal volumes (in mL) on the first day of mechanical ventilation were determined from tidal volume and spontaneous tidal volume measurements.The Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score were determined based on collected data 12,13 .We categorized patients into mild, moderate and severe ARDS based on the Berlin definition of ARDS 1 (Table 1).Data was stored in a secure REDCap (Vanderbilt University, United States) database.

Veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation selection criteria
VV-ECMO eligibility was assessed using pre-defined selection criteria and contraindications that were derived from existing literature.The final criteria chosen included criteria from the Extracorporeal Membrane

ARDS severity as of day 1 of mechanical ventilation Eligible for VV-ECMO, N (%) Non-eligible for VV-ECMO, N (%) Total
No ARDS yet Oxygenation for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (EOLIA) trial, ELSO, New South Wales (NSW), and CCSO (Table S2, Supplementary Appendix) 7,[14][15][16] .The EOLIA trial is a well-known international randomized control trial of VV-ECMO in patients with severe ARDS 7 .The ELSO has previously published guidelines on ECMO management for COVID-19 14 .The more restrictive COVID-19 criteria were chosen over the more recent ELSO criteria as this study had taken place during the COVID-19 pandemic prior to the publication of the more recent criteria 17 .CCSO is a Canadian provincial body that has previously published referral criteria for ECMO provision 16 .The NSW criteria was chosen to represent criteria from another country from a well-established ECMO program 15 .The eligibility under each criterion was determined according to indications and only absolute contraindications (not relative contraindications).We assessed patients between days 1-14 of mechanical ventilation.A final ECMO criteria was created specific to RGH (Regina-restrictive) based on an internal modified Delphi study.Additional details pertaining to the Delphi study can be found in the Supplementary Appendix.

Outcomes
The primary outcome was the number of patients that were ECMO-eligible and ECMO-ineligible based on the five different criteria during the study period.Secondary outcomes included in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and utilization of ventilation strategies and adjunctive therapies.

Statistical analysis
All statistical analyses were conducted on Stata 17 (StataCorp, United States).Simple statistics were reported as frequency counts and percentages, means with standard deviations or medians with interquartile range (IQR) depending on the distribution of data.Normality testing was performed using the Shapiro-Wilk test.To compare proportions between eligible and non-eligible groups, χ 2 squared or Fisher's exact tests (for groups less than 10 counts) were used for categorical variables.T test or Wilcoxon rank sum tests were utilized for continuous variables depending on normality of data.To compare continuous variables between two or more groups, one-way ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis H test were utilized also depending on normality.

Ethics approval and consent to participate
The

Full study cohort characteristics
Out of 1467 patients admitted to the RGH ICU, 415 patients were included in this study (Fig. 1).2).In the study, 342/415 (82%) patients met clinical parameters of ARDS by day one of mechanical ventilation.

Discussion
In this study, we used several different criteria varying in their level of stringency to evaluate potential ECMO need in our centre.Approximately six (1.5%) to 26 (6.3%) patients were eligible for VV-ECMO over a duration of 2.3 years at our centre, but only one patient received treatment with ECMO during that period.Thus, the estimated VV-ECMO volume at RGH could range from at least three to eleven cases of VV-ECMO per year.The estimated incidence of VV-ECMO use for ARDS would be 0.6 to 2.2 cases per 100,000 population per year (based on RGH's catchment of approximately 500,000 residents) 11 .Statistics Canada forecasts a 14.3% to 43.8% growth in the population of Saskatchewan in the next 20 years 18 .With a potential rise in RGH's catchment of 570,000 to 720,000 residents, an incidence of 0.7 to 3.2 cases per 100,000 population per year could be expected for VV-ECMO use for ARDS in 20 years.
We did attempt to distinguish between the need for ECMO among patients that had COVID-19 compared to patients that did not.Even if we were to exclude patients with COVID-19, we would expect around 0.3 to 1.8 cases of ECMO per 100,000 population per year.While it is difficult to predict when the next pandemic may occur, it is likely that a future pandemic may increase ECMO demand.
As such, an increase in local ECMO volume for patients with severe ARDS could be anticipated.For this to occur, human resources and resource allocation (i.e., trained perfusionists) would need to be assessed at RGH.Although ECMO services may be increased in Regina, Saskatchewan, current ECMO volume may be insufficient to maintain significant expertise (not withstanding additional patients who may be receiving VA-ECMO for cardiogenic shock and/or extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation).
In a prior study, higher annual adult ECMO centre volume was associated with lower mortality 19 .Previously, it has been suggested that centres should maintain an ECMO volume of at least 12 to 20 cases per year to optimize outcomes and maintain expertise 19 .However, recent evidence during the COVID-19 pandemic would suggest that newly formed ECMO centres may have acceptable outcomes when supervised in conjunction with an experienced centre 20 .In Japan, the Tokyo Medical and Dental University Hospital performs only 5 to 10 VV-ECMO cases per year, yet they were able to achieve a high survival rate with a multidisciplinary team approach 21 .
Therefore, there are several potential solutions including centralization of ECMO services in Saskatchewan to one tertiary care site and/or partnership with other provincial ECMO programs (i.e., Alberta Health Services and/or Manitoba Health).However, geographic, climate, and jurisdictional considerations in Saskatchewan

Comparison to other studies
Around the world, there are differences in the predicted incidence of VV-ECMO.The annual rates of VV-ECMO use for ARDS varied from 0.5 to 1 per 100,000 population in France 22 , 2.4 per 100,000 in Germany 23 , and 9.8 per 100,000 in South Korea 8 .Thus, at around three to eleven cases of VV-ECMO per year, our centre would have comparable incidence of VV-ECMO per population.
When comparing ARDS outcomes to other studies, the in-hospital mortality of VV-ECMO-eligible patients in our study (55%) was higher compared to ARDS patients in the VV-ECMO arm of the EOLIA trial (36%) 7 .For reference, mortality in the control group of the EOLIA trial was 57% despite a 28% crossover to ECMO 7 .This result is unsurprising given the subsequent Bayesian re-analysis and meta-analyses demonstrating benefit to VV-ECMO use.However, this emphasizes a potential need to improve VV-ECMO access at our institution.
On the other hand, there was low adherence to evidence-based ARDS therapies in our cohort, including low tidal volume ventilation, prone positioning, and neuromuscular blockade.Consequently, ECMO needs could be overestimated if these therapies were instituted routinely.For comparison to other ECMO-eligible patients in our study, ARDS patients participating in the EOLIA trial had lower tidal volume (mean 6.0 mL/kg in EOLIA trial versus median 8.4 mL/kg in our study), higher use of prone positioning (56% versus 48% in our cohort), higher use of iNO (51% versus 12%), and higher use of neuromuscular blockade (92% versus 50%) 7 .

Future directions
Our study has important findings and implications for local quality improvement.This may include interventions to improve recognition of ARDS, improve adherence to evidence-based ARDS therapies, educate staff, develop local treatment guidelines, and streamline the referral process for VV-ECMO.In an observational before and after study, the implementation of an ARDS protocol reduced patient mortality by 12%, improved clinician recognition of ARDS, improved the detection of unsafe tidal volumes and airway pressures, and increased the use of ventilation strategies 24 .

Limitations
Our study has limitations.First, we did not collect information on driving pressure, measures of respiratory effort such as P 0.1 or airway occlusion pressure, or other measures of lung stress and strain, as these criterion had not previously been included in previously published ECMO inclusion or exclusion criterion 25 .Second, the retrospective nature of the study makes it difficult to accurately assess for contraindications, as they may not have been charted adequately and clinician judgement may also have played a role.Third, as there was only one patient who received ECMO in our cohort, patient outcomes of ECMO treatment could not be studied.Finally, as this is a single centre study, our findings may not necessarily apply to other centres.

Conclusion
There may be potential need for expansion of VV-ECMO services in Saskatchewan.However, the use of low tidal volume ventilation, prone positioning, and neuromuscular blockade in patients with severe ARDS could be optimized through quality improvement, staff education, and protocolized care.

Figure 1 .
Figure 1.Flow diagram of the study.

.
Distribution of ECMO-eligible patients (under any criteria) across different severities of ARDS based only on day 1 PaO 2 /FiO 2 ratio.ARDS acute respiratory distress syndrome, VV-ECMO veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.

Table 3 .
Demographicsthe ability to transport unstable patients over large distances and likely justify the current situation of two ECMO referral centres in Saskatchewan.